E-mini S&P 500 June (M) Contract

E-mini S&P 500 (ES) June (M) contract study: year-by-year results, the day-by-day shape of the move and where highs and lows printed.

Contract Almanac · E-mini S&P 500

The June Contract (ESM): A 16-Year Study

Every June S&P contract 2011–2026, measured over its tenure as the lead contract · Typically leads Mar 12 – Jun 11

The June contract holds the S&P from mid-March to mid-June, the spring seat, and its file is the drift at full strength: 12 of 16 higher (75%) with a +4.5% average, the best average on the ES board, powered by the market’s repeated habit of bottoming in March and spending spring recovering.

How this study is measured

Each year is one contract, measured from the open of the day it took over the lead to the close of the day it handed off, the same roll convention used across all Traders Brief research. An index contract holds the lead for a full quarter, roughly 63 trading days from one roll to the next — these are quarterly seats, not months, and the day counts read accordingly. All highs and lows are the contract’s own trades, marked by trading day of the tenure, not calendar day.

Record
12 / 4
75% finished higher
Avg change
+4.5%
median +5.2%
Avg best point
+7.9%
peak vs tenure open
Avg worst point
−5.2%
trough vs tenure open

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