RBOB Gasoline November (X) Contract

RBOB Gasoline (RB) November (X) contract study: year-by-year results, the day-by-day shape of the move and where highs and lows printed.

Contract Almanac · RBOB Gasoline

The November Contract (RBX): A 16-Year Study

Every November gasoline contract 2010–2025, measured over its tenure as the lead contract · Typically leads Sep 18 – Oct 17

The November contract leads from mid-September to mid-October, fully into the off-season, and its file is the board’s hardest to pin down: 7 and 9 on the record, a barely-red median, extremes landing mid-tenure more often than late, and a best year and worst year separated by thirty-one points. Gasoline simply loses its seasonal plot in this window.

How this study is measured

Each year is one contract, measured from the open of the day it took over the lead to the close of the day it handed off, the same roll convention used across all Traders Brief research. Tenure lengths vary by a few trading days from year to year, so day counts differ slightly at the tail. All highs and lows are the contract’s own trades, marked by trading day of the tenure, not calendar day.

Record
7 / 9
44% finished higher
Avg change
+0.4%
median −0.8%
Avg best point
+7.0%
peak vs tenure open
Avg worst point
−7.0%
trough vs tenure open

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