RBOB Gasoline (RB) October (V) contract study: year-by-year results, the day-by-day shape of the move and where highs and lows printed.
Contract Almanac · RBOB Gasoline
Every October gasoline contract 2010–2025, measured over its tenure as the lead contract · Typically leads Aug 18 – Sep 17
The October contract is the quiet champion of the RB board and its best-kept secret: 12 winners in 16 tenures, 75%, while leading from mid-August to mid-September, the exact stretch every calendar table calls gasoline’s worst. It wins because it is the first winter-grade delivery, taking the lead already priced at the cheaper specification, with the seasonal cliff behind it rather than ahead.
Each year is one contract, measured from the open of the day it took over the lead to the close of the day it handed off, the same roll convention used across all Traders Brief research. Tenure lengths vary by a few trading days from year to year, so day counts differ slightly at the tail. All highs and lows are the contract’s own trades, marked by trading day of the tenure, not calendar day.