RBOB Gasoline February (G) Contract

RBOB Gasoline (RB) February (G) contract study: year-by-year results, the day-by-day shape of the move and where highs and lows printed.

Contract Almanac · RBOB Gasoline

The February Contract (RBG): A 15-Year Study

Every February gasoline contract 2011–2026, measured over its tenure as the lead contract · Typically leads Dec 17 – Jan 16

The February contract opens gasoline’s best season, and its shape is the cleanest dip-and-run we have measured anywhere: a median low on trading day 4, a median high on day 18, and 12 of its 15 tenures finishing within five sessions of their defining extreme. It takes the lead in mid-December, right as the market begins pricing the spring specification switch and the driving season beyond it.

How this study is measured

Each year is one contract, measured from the open of the day it took over the lead to the close of the day it handed off, the same roll convention used across all Traders Brief research. Tenure lengths vary by a few trading days from year to year, so day counts differ slightly at the tail. All highs and lows are the contract’s own trades, marked by trading day of the tenure, not calendar day.

Record
11 / 4
73% finished higher
Avg change
+3.9%
median +4.6%
Avg best point
+9.5%
peak vs tenure open
Avg worst point
−5.1%
trough vs tenure open

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